Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.146282 0.173409 0.203834 0.240442 0.283247 0.331669 0.390555
2025-07-13 0.110307 0.146238 0.190902 0.250303 0.327022 0.422536 0.550234
2025-07-20 0.092804 0.133864 0.188993 0.267985 0.377759 0.524337 0.734228
2025-07-27 0.079225 0.122589 0.184652 0.279203 0.418705 0.615861 0.914256
2025-08-03 0.066307 0.109205 0.174169 0.278629 0.441037 0.682184 1.065079
2025-08-10 0.054333 0.094786 0.159311 0.268315 0.446054 0.722025 1.179553
2025-08-17 0.044352 0.081662 0.144128 0.254609 0.442869 0.747446 1.272795
2025-08-24 0.038922 0.075251 0.138799 0.255927 0.463538 0.811965 1.434458
2025-08-31 0.033070 0.067049 0.129061 0.248004 0.466979 0.847609 1.550857
2025-09-07 0.029708 0.062919 0.125929 0.251259 0.490077 0.918602 1.734694
2025-09-14 0.026530 0.058606 0.121783 0.251907 0.508161 0.982110 1.911074
2025-09-21 0.023334 0.053721 0.115802 0.248090 0.517076 1.029374 2.061812
2025-09-28 0.020345 0.048966 0.109775 0.244141 0.526807 1.082152 2.234723
2025-10-05 0.018920 0.047464 0.110363 0.254107 0.566168 1.197072 2.542315
2025-10-12 0.018248 0.047577 0.114428 0.272038 0.624264 1.355355 2.953287
2025-10-19 0.017135 0.046428 0.115487 0.283416 0.669629 1.492355 3.334951
2025-10-26 0.015368 0.043327 0.111563 0.282834 0.688450 1.575662 3.612518
2025-11-02 0.013265 0.038956 0.103926 0.272372 0.683402 1.606958 3.781198
2025-11-09 0.011280 0.034515 0.095404 0.258469 0.668388 1.614369 3.897517
2025-11-16 0.010280 0.032635 0.093110 0.259806 0.690072 1.706751 4.215068
2025-11-23 0.008996 0.029676 0.087507 0.251768 0.687525 1.742646 4.405509
2025-11-30 0.008312 0.028392 0.086248 0.255070 0.714060 1.849981 4.775371
2025-12-07 0.007602 0.026885 0.084132 0.255727 0.733785 1.942808 5.119454